Price Waterhouse: Globalization Will Continue to Drive Consolidation
12 May 1998
Price Waterhouse Survey Finds That Globalization Will Continue to Drive Automotive Industry ConsolidationRecord Number of Mergers Among North American Suppliers; Cross-Border Acquisitions Soar U.S. Companies Remain Vulnerable to 'Refocus or Sell' Syndrome DETROIT, May 11 -- A new Price Waterhouse survey finds that consolidation and globalization continue to drive much of the worldwide M&A activity in the automotive industry. Record levels of acquisitions are expected in 1998 on top of the nearly 750 transactions in 1997, with a disclosed value in excess of $28 billion. Michael Burwell and William Doepke, who lead the Price Waterhouse Corporate Finance Automotive practice in the U.S., say, "The survey results combined with the spate of recent M&A announcements make it clear that U.S. companies remain vulnerable to a 'refocus or sell' syndrome -- either selling non-strategic assets or strengthening core assets through acquisitions. There will also be more cross-border deals in 1998 - and U.S. companies will not necessarily be the acquirers." The second annual Automotive Deal Survey by Price Waterhouse found that: -- North America saw 286 domestic automotive transactions in 1997 with a total deal value of $10.5 billion. -- North American companies looking to increase their presence in the European automotive market accounted for 63 deals in 1997, with a disclosed value of $5.8 billion. -- European merger and acquisition activity in the automotive sector grew by over 50% in 1997, with a disclosed value of $15 billion from 371 transactions. -- UK companies were involved in 139 automotive transactions with a disclosed value of over $8 billion, representing over 28% of total automotive transactions by value on a global basis. -- In 1997, businesses in continental European countries targeted lower cost manufacturing bases. For example, over 50% of German acquisitions in the automotive sector were in Asia, South America and Eastern Europe. -- Consolidation in the dealership sector remains strong, particularly in the U.S. and UK, with 189 transactions, including 26 cross-border deals. Burwell and Doepke note that the industry will remain under pressure in 1998 and beyond as it undergoes a global consolidation that is rapidly shrinking the universe of automotive suppliers of all sizes. Based on the study findings, Burwell and Doepke say that the M&A trend will accelerate in 1998 for the following reasons: -- More Consolidation -- Original Equipment Manufacturers ("OEMs") continue to be the main drivers of consolidation, as they are demanding a smaller universe of suppliers. Additional factors fueling the strategic drive towards consolidation include economic turmoil in the Far East, widespread overcapacity and low levels of projected growth in key markets. -- Slower Growth -- Demand in the more mature and larger markets of North America and Western Europe in 1998 is likely to keep apace with the demand of 1997. This will force the industry to continue to globalize and adopt new technologies to maintain its success. -- Changing Strategies -- For example, made-to-forecast production is resulting in overcapacity and sales push strategies. This will force the industry to focus on customer-driven production with real made-to- order capability. Price Waterhouse Corporate Finance advises and supports clients in the development of their businesses. Services include: mergers and acquisitions; strategic advice; joint ventures and strategic alliances; valuations; shareholder value studies; financings; and advice on initial public offerings. Price Waterhouse (http://www.pw.com), a business advisory and consulting organization with 60,000 professionals around the world, helps its clients develop and execute integrated solutions to build value, manage risk and improve global performance. For a copy of the study, please call Rebecca Herr at 248-723-3678 or email Rebecca_Herr@notes.pw.com. SOURCE Price Waterhouse